Slovenya 2-2 İsveç — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.81
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
17.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.81 — our 36% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.12
1/2
5%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.65
X/1
16%
6.77
X/2
8%
4.77
X/X
15%
4.27
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.98
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.4pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovenya EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.16/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.94
+4% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
28.2 Crosses
5.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovenya
0W-2D-2L
AWAY İsveç
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.44 xG 1.49
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
298 Passes 451
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2022 İsveç İsveç 1-1 HT 1-1 Slovenya Slovenya AVUL
02.06.2022 Slovenya Slovenya 0-2 HT 0-1 İsveç İsveç AVUL
30.05.2016 İsveç İsveç 0-0 HT 0-0 Slovenya Slovenya HAZ
26.05.2008 İsveç İsveç 1-0 HT 1-0 Slovenya Slovenya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovenya
2-2
AWAY İsveç
0.75 xG 1.31
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
226 Passes 367
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovenya vs İsveç
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovenya and İsveç couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slovenya had 40% of the ball to İsveç's 60%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.75 to 1.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, İsveç led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Slovenya and 1.00 for İsveç.

What was the final score of Slovenya vs İsveç?

Slovenya 2-2 İsveç in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovenya vs İsveç?

Before kick-off our model rated an İsveç win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Slovenya 32%, draw 29%, İsveç 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (İsveç) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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