Stellenbosch FC 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
43%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.44
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
4.34
6+ Goals
8%
23.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.44 — our 37% vs market 33.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-3.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 50%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +14%
1.18/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.92
-18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
15.2 Crosses 16.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stellenbosch FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.59
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
148 Passes 468
63% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
28.08.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 0-1 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAF8K
18.05.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
05.05.2024 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
27.09.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 3-1 HT 2-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
15.04.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAF8K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stellenbosch FC
0-1
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
1.39 xG 2.37
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
317 Passes 476
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns edged past Stellenbosch FC 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 42% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 58%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.39 to 2.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stellenbosch FC and 1.17 for Mamelodi Sundowns.

What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Stellenbosch FC 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the South Afrika - Premier League on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 29%, draw 28%, Mamelodi Sundowns 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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