Burgos vs Deportivo La Coruna Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Deportivo La Coruna — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Deportivo La Coruna Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Burgos 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Actual Match Statistics
Deportivo La Coruna nicked a narrow win over Burgos 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Burgos had 43% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 57%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.59 to 0.31.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Burgos 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Deportivo La Coruna?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Burgos 41%, draw 28%, Deportivo La Coruna 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burgos) went the other way.