CD Castellon 1-2 Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
15%
4.75
X/2
14%
8.22
X/X
9%
4.85
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.4
2/2
16%
5.99
2/X
8%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Castellon EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Cordoba EU Bookmakers 28%
-20% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -29%
1.65/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.10
-31% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.7 Crosses 19.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Castellon
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Cordoba
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.92 xG 1.52
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
152 Passes 282
54% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Cordoba Cordoba 2-2 HT 0-2 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
16.03.2024 CD Castellon CD Castellon 2-3 HT 1-1 Cordoba Cordoba İS3
09.12.2023 Cordoba Cordoba 2-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS3
19.06.2010 CD Castellon CD Castellon 0-1 HT 0-0 Cordoba Cordoba İS2
24.01.2010 Cordoba Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
07.03.2009 Cordoba Cordoba 2-1 HT 0-1 CD Castellon CD Castellon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Castellon
1-2
AWAY Cordoba
2.11 xG 2.13
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
293 Passes 280
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Castellon vs Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cordoba edged past CD Castellon 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was CD Castellon at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, CD Castellon had 50% of the ball to Cordoba's 50%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.11 to 2.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cordoba led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CD Castellon and 1.67 for Cordoba.

What was the final score of CD Castellon vs Cordoba?

CD Castellon 1-2 Cordoba in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Castellon vs Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Castellon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CD Castellon 43%, draw 22%, Cordoba 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Castellon) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Castellon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
19 Jan 2025
16:00 Burgos vs Deportivo La Coruna Analysis →
18:15 Racing Santander vs Racing Ferrol Analysis →
20:30 Real Zaragoza vs Tenerife Analysis →
23:00 Almeria vs Huesca Analysis →