Racing Santander 6-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.1
X/1
17%
4.19
X/2
9%
9.98
X/X
8%
4.91
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
9%
8.17
2/X
9%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 22%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.39/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.40
-36% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.9 Crosses 20.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Santander
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 Passes 299
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.11.2024 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-2 HT 0-2 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
02.03.2024 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-2 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
29.10.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-3 HT 1-2 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS2
26.01.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
03.10.2021 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 1-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS3
09.03.2014 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Santander
6-0
AWAY Racing Ferrol
3.23 xG 0.95
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
296 Passes 301
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Racing Santander vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander swept aside Racing Ferrol 6-0. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Racing Santander as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 6-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Santander had 49% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 51%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 3.23 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Santander had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Racing Santander and 1.17 for Racing Ferrol.

What was the final score of Racing Santander vs Racing Ferrol?

Racing Santander 6-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Santander vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Santander win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Racing Santander 50%, draw 26%, Racing Ferrol 24%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Santander), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Santander) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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