Real Zaragoza 2-2 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.48
Over 2.5
41%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
5.36
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.57
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.25
X/2
7%
8.81
X/X
11%
3.56
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
10%
7.93
2/X
8%
15.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+3.4pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.8pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.3pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -15%
1.37/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.42
-22% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
363 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
24.5 Crosses 14.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Zaragoza
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Tenerife
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.53 xG 0.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
311 Passes 358
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2024 Tenerife Tenerife 2-3 HT 1-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
31.03.2024 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-1 HT 2-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
26.08.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
26.05.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 1-1 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
28.10.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 0-2 HT 0-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
02.04.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Zaragoza
2-2
AWAY Tenerife
1.32 xG 0.59
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
365 Passes 275
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Zaragoza vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza and Tenerife shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Zaragoza at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Zaragoza had 56% of the ball to Tenerife's 44%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.32 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Zaragoza had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Real Zaragoza and 0.83 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Real Zaragoza vs Tenerife?

Real Zaragoza 2-2 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Zaragoza vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Zaragoza win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Zaragoza 53%, draw 25%, Tenerife 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Zaragoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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