Gernika 3-2 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.6pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gernika EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.38/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.21
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
293 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gernika
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Zaragoza II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.09.2024 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 1-1 HT 1-1 Gernika Gernika İS4
04.02.2024 Gernika Gernika 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
24.09.2023 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 1-1 HT 0-1 Gernika Gernika İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gernika
3-2
AWAY Zaragoza II
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gernika vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gernika nicked a narrow win over Zaragoza II 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gernika as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gernika had 46% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 54%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zaragoza II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gernika and 1.00 for Zaragoza II.

What was the final score of Gernika vs Zaragoza II?

Gernika 3-2 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gernika vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gernika win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gernika 47%, draw 27%, Zaragoza II 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gernika) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gernika) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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