Pena Deportiva vs Europa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pena Deportiva v Europa — Team-Based Signals
Pena Deportiva vs Europa Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Pena Deportiva 1-2 Europa — Actual Match Statistics
Europa nicked a narrow win over Pena Deportiva 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Europa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pena Deportiva had 40% of the ball to Europa's 60%, shots finished 7-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Europa led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Pena Deportiva and 2.50 for Europa.
What was the final score of Pena Deportiva vs Europa?
Pena Deportiva 1-2 Europa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pena Deportiva vs Europa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pena Deportiva win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pena Deportiva 40%, draw 25%, Europa 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.