Lugano vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lugano v Basel — Team-Based Signals
Lugano vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Basel
İSV
1-1
HT 1-0
Lugano
İSV
Lugano 2-2 Basel — Actual Match Statistics
Lugano and Basel couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Lugano had 51% of the ball to Basel's 49%, shots finished 18-22, expected goals 2.95 to 2.42.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lugano and 1.17 for Basel.
What was the final score of Lugano vs Basel?
Lugano 2-2 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lugano vs Basel?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lugano 40%, draw 25%, Basel 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano) went the other way.