Fiorentina 1-1 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 Jan 2025

Fiorentina
1-1 HT 1-0
Torino
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Fiorentina vs Torino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.71
Over
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
34%
2.77
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
19%
3.93
6+
8%
18.25
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.77 — our 34% vs market 29.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.29
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1 ✗
25%
4.21
X/2
10%
9.41
X/X
15%
4.42
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
13%
7.94
2/X
5%
15.75
Value flag · X/1 at 4.21 — our 25% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina v Torino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino The Market 23%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.80/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.25
+8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
23.3 Crosses 15.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Fiorentina vs Torino Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Torino
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.95 xG 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
370 Passes 301
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Torino Torino 0-1 HT 0-1 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
02.03.2024 Torino Torino 0-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
29.12.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
21.05.2023 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
01.02.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTK
21.01.2023 Fiorentina Fiorentina 0-1 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTA

Fiorentina 1-1 Torino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina
1-1
AWAY Torino
1.52 xG 0.45
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
394 Passes 327
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina and Torino couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Fiorentina had 54% of the ball to Torino's 46%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.52 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fiorentina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fiorentina and 0.50 for Torino.

What was the final score of Fiorentina vs Torino?

Fiorentina 1-1 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina 46%, draw 25%, Torino 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fiorentina), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
19 Jan 2025
17:00 Parma vs Venezia Analysis →
17:00 Cagliari vs Lecce Analysis →
20:00 Hellas Verona vs Lazio Analysis →
22:45 Inter vs Empoli Analysis →