Inter 3-1 Empoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 Jan 2025

Inter
3-1 HT 0-0
Empoli
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over Pick
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.93
2-3
42%
1.82
4-5
26%
2.98
6+
10%
9.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
19.75
X/1
17%
3.73
X/2
5%
16.6
X/X
7%
6.92
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
11%
14.6
2/X
8%
23.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
70%
-15.4pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+9.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Empoli The Market 15%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
2.12/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.78
+13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +15%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
455 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
24.1 Crosses 14.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Empoli
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.82 xG 0.60
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
521 Passes 296
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
40 Box Touches 15
28 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Empoli Empoli 0-3 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
01.04.2024 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 1-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
24.09.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
23.04.2023 Empoli Empoli 0-3 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
23.01.2023 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-0 Empoli Empoli İTA
06.05.2022 Inter Inter 4-2 HT 2-2 Empoli Empoli İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
3-1
AWAY Empoli
2.11 xG 0.36
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
584 Passes 227
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Box Touches 6
18 Crosses 10
POST-MATCH Inter vs Empoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter got the better of Empoli 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Inter had 69% of the ball to Empoli's 31%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 2.11 to 0.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Inter and 0.50 for Empoli.

What was the final score of Inter vs Empoli?

Inter 3-1 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Empoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Inter 54%, draw 24%, Empoli 21%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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