Parma 1-1 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.95
Over
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.49
2-3
38%
1.78
4-5
24%
3.23
6+
12%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.95
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
14%
5.08
X/2
11%
6.98
X/X
14%
4.76
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
15%
4.86
2/X
5%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parma The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia The Market 32%
-10% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.67/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.00
+4% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.0 Crosses 17.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Venezia
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.95 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
334 Passes 402
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.11.2024 Venezia Venezia 1-2 HT 1-1 Parma Parma İTA
03.02.2024 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
07.10.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 0-0 Parma Parma İTB
19.05.2023 Parma Parma 2-1 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTB
26.12.2022 Venezia Venezia 2-2 HT 0-1 Parma Parma İTB
23.02.2018 Parma Parma 1-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parma
1-1
AWAY Venezia
1.63 xG 1.14
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
414 Passes 254
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parma vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parma and Venezia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Parma at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Parma had 60% of the ball to Venezia's 40%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 1.63 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Parma and 1.50 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Parma vs Venezia?

Parma 1-1 Venezia in the Italy - Serie A on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parma vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parma 41%, draw 27%, Venezia 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parma), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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