CDS Tampico Madero 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 19 Jan 2026

📅19/01/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.78
Over 2.5
43%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CDS Tampico Madero EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos EU Bookmakers 28%
+13% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.44/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.56
-11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
301 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.11.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
21.11.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-1 HT 0-1 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
10.08.2025 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 0-0 HT 0-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
30.03.2025 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 2-1 HT 2-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
12.10.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CDS Tampico Madero
0-1
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tepatitlán de Morelos squeezed past CDS Tampico Madero 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was CDS Tampico Madero at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, CDS Tampico Madero had 56% of the ball to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 44%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, CDS Tampico Madero had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CDS Tampico Madero and 0.40 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

What was the final score of CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

CDS Tampico Madero 0-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CDS Tampico Madero vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Before kick-off our model rated a CDS Tampico Madero win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split CDS Tampico Madero 51%, draw 22%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CDS Tampico Madero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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