Estoril U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 19 Jan 2026

📅19/01/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.52/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.61
-10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Portimonense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.11.2025 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 0-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
21.10.2025 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 2-1 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
10.12.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 3-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
22.09.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 3-0 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
1-2
AWAY Portimonense U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 nicked a narrow win over Estoril U23 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 56% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 44%, shots finished 17-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Portimonense U23 led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Estoril U23 and 1.25 for Portimonense U23.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Estoril U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 19/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 45%, draw 30%, Portimonense U23 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
19 Jan 2026
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