Leixoes U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 19 Jan 2026

📅19/01/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
49%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.2pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.4pp
49%
Away Win
38%
+10.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.37/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.77
-7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2025 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-0 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 UŞGA
30.09.2025 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 2-2 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
01.04.2025 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 2-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 PORU23
21.01.2025 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 3-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
02.12.2024 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 0-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
08.10.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 2-2 Sporting Braga U23 Sporting Braga U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
1-2
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga U23 edged past Leixoes U23 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Braga U23 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 53% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 47%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leixoes U23 and 1.50 for Sporting Braga U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Leixoes U23 1-2 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 19/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 32%, draw 19%, Sporting Braga U23 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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