Stoke City U21 4-3 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 19 Feb 2024

📅19/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.46
Over 2.5
54%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.31
No
38%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
44%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.9pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
25%
+21.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
75%
-21.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-10.7pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City U21
4-3
AWAY Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
1.77 xG 2.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
279 Passes 380
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stoke City U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City U21 nicked a narrow win over Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Stoke City U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Stoke City U21 had 43% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Alb. U21's 57%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.77 to 2.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Brighton & Hove Alb. U21.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Stoke City U21 4-3 Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 19/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Brighton & Hove Alb. U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 34%, draw 27%, Brighton & Hove Alb. U21 39%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brighton & Hove Alb. U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Alb. U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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