Real Esteli vs Export Sebaco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Esteli v Export Sebaco — Team-Based Signals
Real Esteli vs Export Sebaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-5
HT 0-2
Real Esteli
NİK
5-0
HT 3-0
Export Sebaco
NİK
3-0
HT 1-0
Real Esteli
NİK
0-1
HT 0-1
Export Sebaco
NİK
Real Esteli squeezed past Export Sebaco 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 77%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Esteli had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Real Esteli and 1.00 for Export Sebaco.
What was the final score of Real Esteli vs Export Sebaco?
Real Esteli 3-2 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Esteli vs Export Sebaco?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 77%, with the full match-result split Real Esteli 77%, draw 14%, Export Sebaco 9%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.