Walter Ferretti 0-3 Matagalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Feb 2026

📅19/02/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.95
Over 2.5
59%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.7
No
38%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
55%
+7.6pp
38%
BTTS No
45%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Walter Ferretti EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
1.87/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.39
+12% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
439 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Walter Ferretti
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Matagalpa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.11.2025 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-2 HT 1-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
01.09.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-2 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
15.09.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 1-1 HT 0-1 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
18.03.2024 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti 2-1 HT 2-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
22.01.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
28.09.2023 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-1 HT 1-0 Walter Ferretti Walter Ferretti NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Walter Ferretti
0-3
AWAY Matagalpa
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matagalpa ran out comfortable winners over Walter Ferretti 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Walter Ferretti at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Walter Ferretti had 58% of the ball to Matagalpa's 42%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matagalpa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Walter Ferretti and 1.50 for Matagalpa.

What was the final score of Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa?

Walter Ferretti 0-3 Matagalpa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Walter Ferretti vs Matagalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Walter Ferretti win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Walter Ferretti 44%, draw 23%, Matagalpa 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Walter Ferretti), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Walter Ferretti) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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