Jalapa 2-0 Rancho Santana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 19 Feb 2026

📅19/02/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.47
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
64%
+2.0pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.3pp
15%
Away Win
15%
+0.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.70/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.63
-13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Rancho Santana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
01.09.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 2-1 HT 1-1 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
23.01.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 4-0 HT 3-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
11.08.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Rancho Santana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa saw off Rancho Santana 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jalapa as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rancho Santana led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jalapa and 2.00 for Rancho Santana.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?

Jalapa 2-0 Rancho Santana in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 19/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Rancho Santana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 66%, draw 19%, Rancho Santana 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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