Alta 0-1 Valley 559 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
17%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.2pp
17%
Away Win
22%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Valley 559 EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-34% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
410 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
0-1
AWAY Valley 559
1.73 xG 1.04
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
339 Passes 119
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alta vs Valley 559
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valley 559 squeezed past Alta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Alta carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alta had 69% of the ball to Valley 559's 31%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.73 to 1.04 — on chances, Alta could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Alta vs Valley 559?

Alta 0-1 Valley 559 in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Valley 559?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Alta 55%, draw 28%, Valley 559 17%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Alta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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