Asheville City 3-1 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
44%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.7pp
44%
Away Win
46%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-15.2pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+15.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asheville City EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 50%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.00/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
-100% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asheville City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
367 Passes 543
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
19.03.2025 Asheville City Asheville City 0-0 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asheville City
3-1
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.67 xG 0.25
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
111 Passes 254
51% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asheville City got the better of Greenville Triumph 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Greenville Triumph at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Asheville City had 38% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 62%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.67 to 0.25.

What was the final score of Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph?

Asheville City 3-1 Greenville Triumph in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Asheville City 34%, draw 22%, Greenville Triumph 44%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Greenville Triumph), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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