Chattanooga 2-1 Kalonji — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.0pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chattanooga EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalonji EU Bookmakers 26%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-56% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chattanooga
2-1
AWAY Kalonji
2.92 xG 1.23
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
378 Passes 206
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
37 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chattanooga vs Kalonji
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga nicked a narrow win over Kalonji 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chattanooga as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chattanooga had 60% of the ball to Kalonji's 40%, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 2.92 to 1.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chattanooga's control.

What was the final score of Chattanooga vs Kalonji?

Chattanooga 2-1 Kalonji in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chattanooga vs Kalonji?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chattanooga win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chattanooga 56%, draw 24%, Kalonji 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chattanooga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chattanooga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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