Louisville City 2-0 South. Indiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.11
Draw
11%
8.78
Away
10%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
61%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
13%
X/2
2%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
85%
-6.4pp
11%
Draw
8%
+2.6pp
10%
Away Win
6%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Louisville City EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY South. Indiana EU Bookmakers 9%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.02/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
-63% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -47%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
457 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 2.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Louisville City
2-0
AWAY South. Indiana
2.02 xG 0.07
70% Ball Possession 30%
21 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
13 Corners 1
450 Passes 156
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
36 Box Touches 2
37 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Louisville City vs South. Indiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Louisville City beat South. Indiana 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Louisville City as the likeliest winner at 79%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Louisville City had 70% of the ball to South. Indiana's 30%, shots finished 21-4, expected goals 2.02 to 0.07.

What was the final score of Louisville City vs South. Indiana?

Louisville City 2-0 South. Indiana in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Louisville City vs South. Indiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Louisville City win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Louisville City 79%, draw 11%, South. Indiana 10%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Louisville City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Louisville City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABDK More USA - Open Cup
19 Mar 2026
01:00 Chattanooga vs Kalonji Analysis →
01:30 Charleston Battery vs Badgers Analysis →
01:30 Asheville City vs Greenville Triumph Analysis →
02:00 Naples vs Red Force Analysis →
02:00 FC Motown vs Hartford Athletic Analysis →
02:30 Vistula vs One Knoxville Analysis →