Naples 3-0 Red Force — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
13%
7.13
Away
19%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.46
Over 2.5
67%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
8%
X/X
3%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.1pp
13%
Draw
11%
+1.5pp
19%
Away Win
7%
+12.7pp
33%
Under 2.5
25%
+7.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
75%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naples EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Red Force EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naples
3-0
AWAY Red Force
1.96 xG 0.01
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
470 Passes 217
87% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Naples vs Red Force
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples ran out comfortable winners over Red Force 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Naples as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (64%) missed.

On the day, Naples had 63% of the ball to Red Force's 37%, shots finished 16-1, expected goals 1.96 to 0.01.

What was the final score of Naples vs Red Force?

Naples 3-0 Red Force in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naples vs Red Force?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naples win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Naples 68%, draw 13%, Red Force 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naples), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naples) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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