Vistula 1-3 One Knoxville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
58%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.82
No
45%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+7.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.8pp
58%
Away Win
66%
-8.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vistula EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
224 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vistula
1-3
AWAY One Knoxville
0.50 xG 2.13
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
169 Passes 543
69% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 40
8 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vistula vs One Knoxville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville beat Vistula 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vistula had 28% of the ball to One Knoxville's 72%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.50 to 2.13.

What was the final score of Vistula vs One Knoxville?

Vistula 1-3 One Knoxville in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vistula vs One Knoxville?

Before kick-off our model rated an One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Vistula 22%, draw 20%, One Knoxville 58%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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