New Mexico United 3-2 Cruizers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.16
Draw
12%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
Over 2.5
66%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.03
No
45%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
6%
1/X
3%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
82%
-9.8pp
12%
Draw
11%
+0.9pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
45%
+10.1pp
45%
BTTS No
55%
-10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruizers EU Bookmakers 9%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+10% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New Mexico United
3-2
AWAY Cruizers
1.43 xG 1.33
76% Ball Possession 24%
27 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 0
527 Passes 104
87% Pass Accuracy 55%
44 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New Mexico United vs Cruizers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New Mexico United squeezed past Cruizers 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had New Mexico United as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, New Mexico United had 76% of the ball to Cruizers's 24%, shots finished 27-11, expected goals 1.43 to 1.33.

What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Cruizers?

New Mexico United 3-2 Cruizers in the USA - Open Cup on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Cruizers?

Before kick-off our model rated a New Mexico United win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 72%, draw 12%, Cruizers 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New Mexico United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New Mexico United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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