Real Espana 2-1 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.88
No
39%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.6pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.4pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-5.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+5.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
49%
+12.3pp
39%
BTTS No
51%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
1.90/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.68
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
29.01.2026 Genesis PN 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
27.11.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
16.09.2025 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
19.01.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
08.12.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
05.12.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana squeezed past Genesis PN 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Espana and 0.67 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Genesis PN?

Real Espana 2-1 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 55%, draw 21%, Genesis PN 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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