Real Espana 1-0 Genesis PN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.7pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Espana EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
1.71/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.78
-16% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
423 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Espana
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Genesis PN
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
16.09.2025 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
19.01.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
08.12.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
05.12.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
27.10.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
18.08.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
POST-MATCH Real Espana vs Genesis PN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana squeezed past Genesis PN 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Real Espana and 0.67 for Genesis PN.

What was the final score of Real Espana vs Genesis PN?

Real Espana 1-0 Genesis PN in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Espana vs Genesis PN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Real Espana 58%, draw 23%, Genesis PN 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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