Juticalpa 3-4 CD Victoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 27 Nov 2025

📅27/11/2025 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.1pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Victoria EU Bookmakers 26%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.58
+71% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
3W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Victoria
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
14.09.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 2-3 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
10.02.2025 CD Victoria CD Victoria 0-1 HT 0-1 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
28.10.2024 CD Victoria CD Victoria 4-0 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
18.08.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Victoria CD Victoria HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs CD Victoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Victoria nicked a narrow win over Juticalpa 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Juticalpa at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Juticalpa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Juticalpa and 1.50 for CD Victoria.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs CD Victoria?

Juticalpa 3-4 CD Victoria in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 27/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs CD Victoria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juticalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 56%, draw 22%, CD Victoria 22%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Juticalpa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juticalpa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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