Genesis PN 1-2 Real Espana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.4pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Genesis PN EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Espana EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
0.74/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.22
-32% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Genesis PN
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Real Espana
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
27.11.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
16.09.2025 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
19.01.2025 Real Espana Real Espana 1-1 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
08.12.2024 Real Espana Real Espana 2-0 HT 1-0 Genesis PN HON
05.12.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Espana Real Espana HON
27.10.2024 Genesis PN 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Espana Real Espana HON
POST-MATCH Genesis PN vs Real Espana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Espana squeezed past Genesis PN 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Espana as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Espana led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Genesis PN and 1.17 for Real Espana.

What was the final score of Genesis PN vs Real Espana?

Genesis PN 1-2 Real Espana in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Genesis PN vs Real Espana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Espana win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Genesis PN 31%, draw 27%, Real Espana 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Espana), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Espana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
29 Jan 2026
02:15 Olancho vs CD Olimpia Analysis →
04:30 Marathon vs Juticalpa Analysis →