Olancho 1-1 CD Olimpia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒02:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.5pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olancho EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Olimpia EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -20%
1.30/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.74
+26% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +58%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olancho
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CD Olimpia
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
04.12.2025 Olancho Olancho 2-2 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
18.09.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-2 HT 0-1 Olancho Olancho HON
04.04.2025 Olancho Olancho 1-0 HT 0-0 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
03.02.2025 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 2-1 HT 1-0 Olancho Olancho HON
15.12.2024 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia 3-0 HT 3-0 Olancho Olancho HON
12.12.2024 Olancho Olancho 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Olimpia CD Olimpia HON
POST-MATCH Olancho vs CD Olimpia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olancho and CD Olimpia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CD Olimpia at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Olimpia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Olancho and 1.67 for CD Olimpia.

What was the final score of Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Olancho 1-1 CD Olimpia in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olancho vs CD Olimpia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CD Olimpia win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Olancho 30%, draw 28%, CD Olimpia 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CD Olimpia), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CD Olimpia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
29 Jan 2026
00:00 Genesis PN vs Real Espana Analysis →
04:30 Marathon vs Juticalpa Analysis →