Marathon 3-0 Juticalpa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 29 Jan 2026

📅29/01/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.37
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
14%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
69%
+1.3pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.7pp
14%
Away Win
12%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marathon EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +24%
2.17/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.08
-1% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marathon
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Juticalpa
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
04.10.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-3 HT 0-2 Marathon Marathon HON
28.07.2025 Marathon Marathon 7-0 HT 4-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
07.03.2025 Marathon Marathon 4-0 HT 2-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
20.01.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
21.10.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
11.08.2024 Marathon Marathon 4-1 HT 1-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
POST-MATCH Marathon vs Juticalpa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon ran out comfortable winners over Juticalpa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Marathon and 0.50 for Juticalpa.

What was the final score of Marathon vs Juticalpa?

Marathon 3-0 Juticalpa in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 29/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marathon vs Juticalpa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Marathon 70%, draw 17%, Juticalpa 14%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HON More Honduras - National League Apertura
29 Jan 2026
00:00 Genesis PN vs Real Espana Analysis →
02:15 Olancho vs CD Olimpia Analysis →