Juticalpa 0-4 Marathon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Honduras - National League Apertura, 19 Mar 2026

📅19/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juticalpa EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Marathon EU Bookmakers 62%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
1.01/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.55
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +72%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
266 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juticalpa
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Marathon
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
29.01.2026 Marathon Marathon 3-0 HT 2-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
04.10.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-3 HT 0-2 Marathon Marathon HON
28.07.2025 Marathon Marathon 7-0 HT 4-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
07.03.2025 Marathon Marathon 4-0 HT 2-0 Juticalpa Juticalpa HON
20.01.2025 Juticalpa Juticalpa 0-0 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
21.10.2024 Juticalpa Juticalpa 1-1 HT 0-0 Marathon Marathon HON
POST-MATCH Juticalpa vs Marathon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marathon ran out comfortable winners over Juticalpa 4-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Marathon as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marathon led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Juticalpa and 3.00 for Marathon.

What was the final score of Juticalpa vs Marathon?

Juticalpa 0-4 Marathon in the Honduras - National League Apertura on 19/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juticalpa vs Marathon?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marathon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Juticalpa 22%, draw 21%, Marathon 57%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marathon), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marathon) ✓ Over 2.5
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