Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.92
6+ Goals
10%
17.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.02
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
10%
16.05
X/1
20%
3.96
X/2
8%
11.45
X/X
11%
4.89
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
9%
10.1
2/X
5%
18.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roma EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona EU Bookmakers 20%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.94/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.45
+22% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
19.3 Crosses 14.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 0.72
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
429 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-2 HT 2-1 Roma Roma İTA
20.01.2024 Roma Roma 2-1 HT 2-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
26.08.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-1 HT 2-0 Roma Roma İTA
19.02.2023 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 1-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
31.10.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 1-1 Roma Roma İTA
19.02.2022 Roma Roma 2-2 HT 0-2 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roma
1-0
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.51 xG 0.51
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
422 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Roma vs Hellas Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roma edged past Hellas Verona 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Roma had 55% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 45%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 1.51 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Roma and 1.50 for Hellas Verona.

What was the final score of Roma vs Hellas Verona?

Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roma vs Hellas Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Roma 52%, draw 26%, Hellas Verona 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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