Columbus Crew 0-1 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.6
6+ Goals
11%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.26
1/2 EV+ ✗
6%
24.65
1/X
5%
12.15
X/1
10%
5.92
X/2
13%
6.6
X/X
14%
5.83
2/1
5%
22.9
2/2
17%
3.85
2/X
7%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.65 — our 6% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 38%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +27%
1.54/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.39
-3% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
17.8 Crosses 11.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.66 xG 1.04
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
484 Passes 354
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-3 HT 0-2 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
14.08.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-2 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami CONLK
20.06.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
05.07.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
30.04.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-2 HT 1-2 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
14.09.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
0-1
AWAY Inter Miami
2.94 xG 0.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
587 Passes 393
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
38 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami squeezed past Columbus Crew 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Inter Miami found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 58% of the ball to Inter Miami's 42%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.94 to 0.90 — on chances, Columbus Crew could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Columbus Crew and 2.17 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?

Columbus Crew 0-1 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 38%, draw 26%, Inter Miami 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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