Schalke 04 2-2 Hamburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 Apr 2025

Schalke 04
2-2 HT 1-2
Hamburg
📅19/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Schalke 04 vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.37
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
24%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
6.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.13
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.8
1/X
10%
12.45
X/1
15%
6.95
X/2
15%
5.69
X/X
12%
5.93
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
15%
3.04
2/X
5%
12.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Schalke 04 v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamburg EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.68/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.51
+12% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -28%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 81%
26.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
23.4 Crosses 20.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Schalke 04 vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hamburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.64 xG 2.53
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
271 Passes 361
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 31
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Hamburg Hamburg 2-2 HT 2-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
20.01.2024 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 0-2 HT 0-2 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
28.07.2023 Hamburg Hamburg 5-3 HT 1-2 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
18.12.2021 Hamburg Hamburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
23.07.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-3 HT 1-0 Hamburg Hamburg AL2
07.04.2018 Hamburg Hamburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1

Schalke 04 2-2 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
2-2
AWAY Hamburg
2.38 xG 3.49
23% Ball Possession 77%
13 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 2
120 Passes 617
60% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 39
13 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Hamburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 and Hamburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 23% of the ball to Hamburg's 77%, shots finished 13-26, expected goals 2.38 to 3.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Schalke 04 and 2.67 for Hamburg.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Hamburg?

Schalke 04 2-2 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Hamburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 35%, draw 27%, Hamburg 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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