1860 München 2-1 Alemannia Aachen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.79
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
22.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.34
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
12%
5.1
X/2
13%
6.51
X/X
13%
4.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
30.0
2/2
14%
4.89
2/X
5%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.0 — our 12% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 1860 München EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.81/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.86
+19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
319 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 67%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses 17.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 1860 München
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
292 Passes 234
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
17 Crosses 29
5 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-1 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL3
06.05.2012 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 1-2 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
04.12.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-2 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL2
03.04.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-1 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2
07.11.2010 1860 München 1860 München 2-1 HT 1-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
20.02.2010 1860 München 1860 München 3-2 HT 1-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 1860 München
2-1
AWAY Alemannia Aachen
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
222 Passes 328
68% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH 1860 München vs Alemannia Aachen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

1860 München edged past Alemannia Aachen 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had 1860 München as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, 1860 München had 43% of the ball to Alemannia Aachen's 57%, shots finished 7-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for 1860 München and 1.67 for Alemannia Aachen.

What was the final score of 1860 München vs Alemannia Aachen?

1860 München 2-1 Alemannia Aachen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 1860 München vs Alemannia Aachen?

Before kick-off our model rated a 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split 1860 München 42%, draw 25%, Alemannia Aachen 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (1860 München), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (1860 München) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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