Alemannia Aachen 1-1 1860 München — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Nov 2024

Alemannia Aachen
1-1 HT 1-0
1860 München
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Alemannia Aachen vs 1860 München Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.9
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
16%
5.53
X/2
18%
5.38
X/X
7%
4.5
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
16%
3.73
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
22%
Draw
27%
-5.5pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+6.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alemannia Aachen v 1860 München — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY 1860 München EU Bookmakers 40%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -20%
0.75/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.24
-47% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
22.6 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

Alemannia Aachen vs 1860 München Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY 1860 München
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
The Meetings
06.05.2012 1860 München 1860 München 1-2 HT 1-2 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
04.12.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-2 HT 1-1 1860 München 1860 München AL2
03.04.2011 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-1 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2
07.11.2010 1860 München 1860 München 2-1 HT 1-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
20.02.2010 1860 München 1860 München 3-2 HT 1-1 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen AL2
20.09.2009 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 2-0 HT 1-0 1860 München 1860 München AL2

Alemannia Aachen 1-1 1860 München — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
1-1
AWAY 1860 München
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
234 Passes 292
65% Pass Accuracy 71%
29 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs 1860 München
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen and 1860 München couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was 1860 München at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 48% of the ball to 1860 München's 52%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alemannia Aachen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 1.50 for 1860 München.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs 1860 München?

Alemannia Aachen 1-1 1860 München in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs 1860 München?

Before kick-off our model rated an 1860 München win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 36%, draw 22%, 1860 München 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (1860 München), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (1860 München) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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