Dynamo Dresden 1-1 Saarbrücken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.57
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
21%
4.49
X/2
8%
7.75
X/X
10%
5.35
2/1
6%
23.0
2/2
10%
5.47
2/X
6%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Saarbrücken EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +35%
0.87/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/0.86
-25% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
264 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
23.0 Crosses 5.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Saarbrücken
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-3 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
19.11.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 1-0 HT 1-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
29.10.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 0-0 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
14.04.2023 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken 2-0 HT 2-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
22.10.2022 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-2 HT 0-1 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
13.03.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 0-0 Saarbrücken Saarbrücken AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
1-1
AWAY Saarbrücken
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
376 Passes 258
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Saarbrücken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Dresden and Saarbrücken shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 57% of the ball to Saarbrücken's 43%, shots finished 19-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saarbrücken led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.50 for Saarbrücken.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Saarbrücken?

Dynamo Dresden 1-1 Saarbrücken in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Saarbrücken?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 52%, draw 25%, Saarbrücken 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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