Verl 2-2 Stuttgart II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Nov 2024

Verl
2-2 HT 1-1
Stuttgart II
📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Verl vs Stuttgart II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 28% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.29
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
9%
4.26
X/2
5%
9.15
X/X
12%
5.36
2/1
8%
22.55
2/2
11%
6.65
2/X
9%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.4pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Verl v Stuttgart II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Verl EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -23%
2.03/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/2.30
+15% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
433 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.6 Crosses 16.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.7

Verl 2-2 Stuttgart II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Verl
2-2
AWAY Stuttgart II
71% Ball Possession 29%
23 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
556 Passes 177
85% Pass Accuracy 62%
52 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Verl vs Stuttgart II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Verl and Stuttgart II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Verl at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Verl had 71% of the ball to Stuttgart II's 29%, shots finished 23-7.

What was the final score of Verl vs Stuttgart II?

Verl 2-2 Stuttgart II in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Verl vs Stuttgart II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Verl 48%, draw 29%, Stuttgart II 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✗ Under 2.5
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