Hansa Rostock 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.91
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.1
6+ Goals
10%
19.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.65
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
11%
5.21
X/2
12%
5.65
X/X
17%
4.35
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
10%
4.09
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.6pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.69/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.12
+10% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
332 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 71%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.6 Crosses 18.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.01
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
278 Passes 279
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 26
26 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.02.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
06.08.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
14.03.2015 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-2 HT 1-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
20.09.2014 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 4-2 HT 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
06.04.2013 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
06.10.2012 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 HT 0-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
2-1
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
200 Passes 309
60% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock squeezed past Arminia Bielefeld 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Hansa Rostock found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 43% of the ball to Arminia Bielefeld's 57%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hansa Rostock had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.33 for Arminia Bielefeld.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Hansa Rostock 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 38%, draw 31%, Arminia Bielefeld 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hansa Rostock), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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