Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 Sandhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 27% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.42
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
14%
5.51
X/2
10%
6.0
X/X
14%
5.09
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
17%
3.86
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandhausen EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.54/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.26
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.2 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Sandhausen
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 5
04.05.2024 Sandhausen Sandhausen 2-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen AL3
02.12.2023 Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen 1-2 HT 0-1 Sandhausen Sandhausen AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rot-Weiss Essen
1-1
AWAY Sandhausen
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
398 Passes 343
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Essen vs Sandhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Essen and Sandhausen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rot-Weiss Essen had 53% of the ball to Sandhausen's 47%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sandhausen led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rot-Weiss Essen and 2.00 for Sandhausen.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Essen vs Sandhausen?

Rot-Weiss Essen 1-1 Sandhausen in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Essen vs Sandhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Essen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Essen 38%, draw 27%, Sandhausen 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Essen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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