Stuttgart II 1-1 Verl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.0
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
12%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
15%
6.03
X/2
13%
5.73
X/X
9%
5.17
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
20%
3.55
2/X
9%
12.9
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stuttgart II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Verl EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.19/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/1.54
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
15.0 Crosses 14.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stuttgart II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Verl
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 13
177 Passes 556
62% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Crosses 52
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Verl Verl 2-2 HT 1-1 Stuttgart II Stuttgart II AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stuttgart II
1-1
AWAY Verl
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
301 Passes 445
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stuttgart II vs Verl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stuttgart II and Verl couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Verl at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Stuttgart II had 42% of the ball to Verl's 58%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Stuttgart II vs Verl?

Stuttgart II 1-1 Verl in the Germany - 3rd Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stuttgart II vs Verl?

Before kick-off our model rated an Verl win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stuttgart II 34%, draw 24%, Verl 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Verl), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Verl) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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