Arminia Bielefeld 4-0 Hansa Rostock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.39
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.65
6+ Goals
12%
14.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.65 — our 28% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.65
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
13%
4.56
X/2
9%
7.66
X/X
10%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.2
2/2
13%
5.84
2/X
8%
14.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.24/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.32
-29% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
23.8 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hansa Rostock
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 1.32
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
289 Passes 252
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.11.2024 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
10.02.2023 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
06.08.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-1 HT 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL2
14.03.2015 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld 3-2 HT 1-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
20.09.2014 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 4-2 HT 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
06.04.2013 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-0 Arminia Bielefeld Arminia Bielefeld AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arminia Bielefeld
4-0
AWAY Hansa Rostock
56% Ball Possession 44%
27 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
319 Passes 216
74% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arminia Bielefeld vs Hansa Rostock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld swept aside Hansa Rostock 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Arminia Bielefeld had 56% of the ball to Hansa Rostock's 44%, shots finished 27-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hansa Rostock led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arminia Bielefeld and 1.83 for Hansa Rostock.

What was the final score of Arminia Bielefeld vs Hansa Rostock?

Arminia Bielefeld 4-0 Hansa Rostock in the Germany - 3rd Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arminia Bielefeld vs Hansa Rostock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Arminia Bielefeld 49%, draw 23%, Hansa Rostock 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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