Schwaben Augsburg 1-1 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
31%
-6.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schwaben Augsburg EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 48%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.97/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.21
+46% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
373 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schwaben Augsburg
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayreuth
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
06.10.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 3-2 HT 1-2 Schwaben Augsburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schwaben Augsburg and Bayreuth couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bayreuth at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth?

Schwaben Augsburg 1-1 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Schwaben Augsburg 25%, draw 30%, Bayreuth 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayreuth), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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