Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Slavia Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Sofia EU Bookmakers 34%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
0.78/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.40
-31% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Slavia Sofia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.11.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 2-1 HT 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
16.03.2024 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
23.09.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2-0 HT 0-0 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia BUL1
02.05.2023 Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-1
AWAY Slavia Sofia
70% Ball Possession 30%
27 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Sofia nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Slavia Sofia made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 70% of the ball to Slavia Sofia's 30%, shots finished 27-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.00 for Slavia Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 Slavia Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Slavia Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 40%, draw 27%, Slavia Sofia 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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