Flint Town United 4-0 Newtown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.53
No
54%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.52
2-3 Goals
36%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.52 — our 29% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
49%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.8pp
54%
BTTS No
39%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Newtown EU Bookmakers 31%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
2.64/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.48
+74% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint Town United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Newtown
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Newtown Newtown 2-2 HT 1-1 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
01.01.2025 Flint Town United Flint Town United 2-0 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
04.10.2024 Newtown Newtown 2-4 HT 1-2 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
19.11.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-4 HT 1-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
19.08.2022 Newtown Newtown 0-2 HT 0-2 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
23.04.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
POST-MATCH Flint Town United vs Newtown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Town United ran out comfortable winners over Newtown 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Flint Town United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flint Town United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Flint Town United and 1.50 for Newtown.

What was the final score of Flint Town United vs Newtown?

Flint Town United 4-0 Newtown in the Wales - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint Town United vs Newtown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint Town United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Flint Town United 54%, draw 24%, Newtown 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flint Town United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Flint Town United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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