Haverfordwest County 1-3 The New Saints — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
51%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.49
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.19
6+ Goals
13%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.7pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.5pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+7.5pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY The New Saints EU Bookmakers 69%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.09/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/0.69
+13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +44%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haverfordwest County
0W-0D-6L
AWAY The New Saints
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 The New Saints The New Saints 5-1 HT 3-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
10.11.2024 The New Saints The New Saints 2-1 HT 1-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
07.09.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
23.12.2023 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.09.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 5-1 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
07.01.2023 The New Saints The New Saints 3-1 HT 2-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
POST-MATCH Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints saw off Haverfordwest County 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, The New Saints led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Haverfordwest County and 2.83 for The New Saints.

What was the final score of Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints?

Haverfordwest County 1-3 The New Saints in the Wales - Premier League on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints?

Before kick-off our model rated an The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Haverfordwest County 21%, draw 28%, The New Saints 51%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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