Debrecen 4-3 Zalaegerszegi TE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 26% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
1.49/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.01
+0% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
25.3 Crosses 15.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.57 xG 0.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
393 Passes 225
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 2-1 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
31.08.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 3-1 HT 0-1 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
17.03.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 5-1 HT 4-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
25.11.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 1-2 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
13.08.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 0-0 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE MAC
23.04.2023 Zalaegerszegi TE Zalaegerszegi TE 0-2 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
4-3
AWAY Zalaegerszegi TE
1.58 xG 1.98
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
319 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs Zalaegerszegi TE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen edged past Zalaegerszegi TE 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Debrecen made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Debrecen had 54% of the ball to Zalaegerszegi TE's 46%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.58 to 1.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Debrecen and 0.83 for Zalaegerszegi TE.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Debrecen 4-3 Zalaegerszegi TE in the Hungary - NB I on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs Zalaegerszegi TE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 40%, draw 26%, Zalaegerszegi TE 34%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Debrecen) ✗ BTTS No
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