Paksi SE 2-2 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
1.67/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.32
+21% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
29.6 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paksi SE
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.25 xG 1.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 297
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 3-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
01.09.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 0-1 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
20.04.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 5-0 HT 1-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
04.02.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 2-1 HT 1-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
23.09.2023 Puskas FC Puskas FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
19.05.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-2 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paksi SE
2-2
AWAY Puskas FC
1.98 xG 2.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
213 Passes 282
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 46
21 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Paksi SE vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paksi SE and Puskas FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Paksi SE had 45% of the ball to Puskas FC's 55%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.98 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Paksi SE and 2.00 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Puskas FC?

Paksi SE 2-2 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 39%, draw 24%, Puskas FC 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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